Long-term target state estimation of non-manoeuvring targets, such as vessels under way in open sea, is crucial for maritime security. The dynamics of non-manoeuvring targets is traditionally modelled with a white noise ...

We present a novel method for predicting long-term target states based on mean-reverting stochastic processes. We use the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, leading to a revised target state equation and to a time scaling ...

Building on a novel methodology based on the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process to perform accurate long-term predictions of future positions of ships at sea, we present a statistical approach to the detection of abrupt changes ...